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Research topic

Dividends

15 articles tagged “Dividends”

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15Articles
15Companies
6Categories
Nov 1, 2026Latest

Realty Income’s 671 Consecutive Monthly Dividends And A 235bps Acquisition Spread Make The Rate-Sensitivity Label Wrong (O)

Realty Income is deploying capital at a 235bps spread over its 4.75% borrowing cost — the widest in five years — while 671 consecutive monthly dividends, AFFO growing 6.6% YoY, and a private capital platform with Apollo and GIC are being completely ignored by the ‘rate-sensitive REIT’ label.

· 8 min read

Altria (MO): The Forensic Case That Death-Spiral Math Is Running In Reverse

Altria has re-rated 27% to ~$72, yet still trades at 13x against a 19x historical average while consensus prices three demonstrably wrong calls: a "volume cliff" offset by relentless pricing power, a smoke-free option marked near zero after NJOY, and a ~$9B ABI stake buried by single-multiple math. Forensic case: BUY, $82 in 12 months, $95+ long-term.

· 12 min read

Hershey: The Forensic Case That Consensus Errors Have Created A Mispricing

Hershey trades at 19x forward earnings versus a 10-year median of 26x, while consensus prices in three demonstrably wrong assumptions about cocoa, GLP-1s, and Salty Snacks. The forensic case points to $235 in 12 months and $275+ longer term. Option 2 — Contrarian hook The market thinks GLP-1s will hurt chocolate demand — peer-reviewed Cornell data shows the opposite. Combined with the cocoa hedge lag and an unmodeled Salty Snacks asset, Hershey's mispricing is measurable, falsifiable, and worth 25%+ upside.

· 15 min read

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