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Valuation

Everything Stocknote has published on Valuation: 5 research articles covering 5 companies across 4 categories. The latest piece was published on June 30, 2026.

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4Categories
Jun 30, 2026Latest

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Hershey: The Forensic Case That Consensus Errors Have Created A Mispricing

Hershey trades at 19x forward earnings versus a 10-year median of 26x, while consensus prices in three demonstrably wrong assumptions about cocoa, GLP-1s, and Salty Snacks. The forensic case points to $235 in 12 months and $275+ longer term. Option 2 — Contrarian hook The market thinks GLP-1s will hurt chocolate demand — peer-reviewed Cornell data shows the opposite. Combined with the cocoa hedge lag and an unmodeled Salty Snacks asset, Hershey's mispricing is measurable, falsifiable, and worth 25%+ upside.

· 15 min read

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