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Sum-of-the-Parts

Everything Stocknote has published on Sum-of-the-Parts: 6 research articles covering 6 companies across 3 categories. The latest piece was published on June 30, 2026.

6Articles
6Companies
3Categories
Jun 30, 2026Latest

Latest on Sum-of-the-Parts

All 6 articles →

PayPal (PYPL): The Forensic Case That The Market Is Pricing A Wallet As A Wallet — And Ignoring The Cash Machine Behind It

PYPL has de-rated to ~$44 and ~8.4x earnings on a single fear — branded checkout is losing share — while consensus misprices three things the filings refute: a ~$14B transaction-profit base growing 3% in spite of the checkout drag, a Venmo/PSP growth engine compounding double digits, and a ~$6B annual buyback retiring ~10% of the float a year. Forensic case: BUY, $62 in 12 months, $80+ long-term.

· 12 min read

Altria (MO): The Forensic Case That Death-Spiral Math Is Running In Reverse

Altria has re-rated 27% to ~$72, yet still trades at 13x against a 19x historical average while consensus prices three demonstrably wrong calls: a "volume cliff" offset by relentless pricing power, a smoke-free option marked near zero after NJOY, and a ~$9B ABI stake buried by single-multiple math. Forensic case: BUY, $82 in 12 months, $95+ long-term.

· 12 min read

Hershey: The Forensic Case That Consensus Errors Have Created A Mispricing

Hershey trades at 19x forward earnings versus a 10-year median of 26x, while consensus prices in three demonstrably wrong assumptions about cocoa, GLP-1s, and Salty Snacks. The forensic case points to $235 in 12 months and $275+ longer term. Option 2 — Contrarian hook The market thinks GLP-1s will hurt chocolate demand — peer-reviewed Cornell data shows the opposite. Combined with the cocoa hedge lag and an unmodeled Salty Snacks asset, Hershey's mispricing is measurable, falsifiable, and worth 25%+ upside.

· 15 min read

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